2024 Q4- 2025 Q1
December 1st, 2024
Our quarterly S&P 500 forecast for 2024 Q4 (average price returns) indicates a 5.9 percent growth over the previous quarter. We predict 4.6 percent growth for 2025 Q1 over the last quarter of 2024. Our monthly forecast for December is lower than November’s average. Geopolitical problems such as the Russia-Ukraine, and the Israel-Palestine conflict cannot be captured in a forecast model. Thus, any uncertainty concerning these issues makes the 95 % confidence interval around the point forecast rather wide.
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