Stock market prediction: Quarterly S&P 500 Forecast

2025 Q1 -2025 Q2

March 1st 2025

Our quarterly S&P 500 forecast for 2025 Q1 (average price returns) indicates a 1.2 percent growth over the previous quarter. For 2025 Q2 , we anticipate 3.5 percent growth over the first quarter. Our monthly forecast for March is lower than February’s average. Geopolitical problems such as the Russia-Ukraine, and the Israel-Palestine conflict cannot be captured in a forecast model. Thus, any uncertainty concerning these issues makes the 95 % confidence interval around the point forecast rather wide.    

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